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Ephemeris uncertainty

Ephemeris uncertainty

A natal chart chains several approximations: orbital theory, coordinate transforms, house algorithms, clock/time-zone input, and birth-time recording error. Treating the output as exact to the arcminute is usually unwarranted.

Layers of error

Layer Typical impact on natal charts
VSOP87 + local Moon model Sun/planets: usually ≪ 1° for sign work; Moon may differ more from JPL/Swiss
Geocentric vs topocentric Planets: small; Moon: up to ~arcminutes (geocentric-vs-topocentric)
UT vs TT Sub-arcminute for modern dates; negligible vs birth-time error
House system math Algorithm-specific; extreme latitudes stress Placidus
Birth instant Often dominant for ASC/MC (birth-time-accuracy)
Time zone / DST mistake Can shift angles by hours

What is “good enough”?

  • Sign placement (Sun through Pluto, nodes) — VSOP-class geocentric longitudes are routinely adequate when the instant is correct.
  • Moon degree within sign — verify against a reference ephemeris if you need arcminute lunar aspects.
  • Angles and Placidus houses — require accurate UTC + coordinates; test sensitivity with ±4 minute shifts.

AstroRust testing stance

astrorust_ephemerides integration tests document fixture tolerances tied to this implementation, explicitly not Swiss Ephemeris or JPL DE. Use them to catch regressions, not to certify arcsecond agreement with every almanac.

For highest-precision work (eclipses, exact aspects to angles), compare against a DE-based almanac or Swiss Ephemeris outside this stack.

References

See also vsop87, julian-day-ephemeris, data-quality.

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